The Next Economic Storm?

          As I noted last week, I expected there was a possibility of more stock upside last week given how oversold stocks were when the current rally started.  I view the current rally as a countertrend with more downside ahead.           As many savvy readers of “Portfolio Watch” have undoubtedly noted, there is…

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Is This the Future for Stocks?

             Stocks staged a strong rally last week on a percentage basis.  There could be more upside in this rally that I view as a countertrend, but there doesn’t necessarily have to be.  I expect that there is more downside for stocks ahead.  Likely, eventually a lot more downside.             I have often discussed the…

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Inflation Update and Recession Realities

          When inflation first became a topic of conversation, I stated my view that unless we saw real positive, net interest rates, inflation would not be controlled.           If you are a new reader, that simply means that the interest rates have to be higher than the inflation rate.  If the inflation rate is higher…

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