Posts by Dennis Tubbergen
More Inflation Followed by Deflation
Last week, here in “Portfolio Watch,” I provided evidence that we are in the ‘inflation followed by deflation cycle’ that I forecast in my 2011 book “Economic Consequences.” At this point in time, there is evidence of both. First, events this past week point to the Federal Reserve will have to reverse course…
Read MoreInflation Followed by Deflation
In my books, “New Retirement Rules” and “Revenue Sourcing”, I forecast an environment of inflation followed by deflation. The first version of the “New Retirement Rules” book was written 9 years ago. I made this forecast not because I am a trained economist with unique insights into our economic future but rather by…
Read MoreForecast: Stagflation
One indication that the US and world economy is not as healthy as many pundits would have you believe is the distribution of wealth – or lack thereof in the younger segments of the population. For purposes of this article, a baby boomer is defined as someone born between 1946 and 1964, and…
Read MoreThe Metric is Flawed
It’s an often-overlooked point: currency devaluation makes reported economic data appear better than it really is. Stated differently, when the measuring stick or metric used to measure anything is changed, reported data changes by virtue of a changing metric regardless of the actual data. Let me give you an example that I…
Read MoreInflation Under Control? Not!
It’s no secret that I have been forecasting stagflation – defined as a contracting economy (recession) and rising consumer prices. There are those who disagree with me. There are also those who are attempting to put a good spin on the current situation. Count Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman among this group.…
Read MoreSoft Economic Landing? Not a Chance
I have long held that the economic boom we’ve experienced since the time of the Great Financial Crisis of 15 years ago has been largely the result of the artificial, easy money policies that the Federal Reserve and other central banks around the world have been pursuing. While there are those who think…
Read MoreIs the U.S. Economy Ready to Break?
As I have been noting, stocks appear to be in the early stages of an Elliott Wave theory ‘wave three’ down. Here is an updated chart. (For an explanation of an Elliott Wave three down, visit www.RetirementLifestyleAdvocates.com and see the “Portfolio Watch” newsletter dated September 25, 2023.) A large…
Read MoreStocks on the Verge of a Major Decline?
In the “Positions” newsletter for paid subscribers, we have been noting that stocks may be in the early stages of a classic, Elliott Wave three down. Elliott Wave theory notes that markets tend to move in waves: three waves in the primary price trend and two counter-trend waves. The chart I created…
Read MoreInflation, the American Consumer and Recession
There are signs that the economy is beginning to slouch toward recession. This week, we’ll look at a few of those signs and some events that will have at least some effect on the US economy. Let’s begin with the fact that inflation got hot again in August. I have been repeatedly…
Read MoreUS Dollar and Unsustainable Deficits
Last week, I looked at the undeniable trend that the US Dollar, due to massive currency creation and weaponization, is losing its long-time dominance globally. This week, I want to expand on that thought. Dr. Ron Paul, former presidential candidate and past guest on my RLA Radio program, wrote a piece offering his take…
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